Posts Tagged ‘Financial advisory’

Senior couple on cycle rideEver since the 2008 presidential elections, America has been in whirlwind discussions over our healthcare system.  Any American that has paid attention has had healthcare in the forefront of their mind at some point over the past four years. But it’s becoming an increasingly important issue for a specific group of Americans: The retirees.  The estimated retirement healthcare costs are continuing the rising trend from the past decade. The latest estimate from Fidelity Investments puts this year’s figure at $240,000.  That figure, up 4% from last year, means that on average, a 65-year-old couple retiring in 2012 can expect to pay $240,000 for their healthcare costs over the remainder of their lifetimes. This figure is based on the average life expectancy of men living to 82 and women living to 85. To add insult to injury, that figure doesn’t include the cost of long-term-care, dental care, and any over the counter medication.

 

The figure cited for the 2011 cost expectancy broke a long term trend of rising costs as Fidelity cited effects from Obama’s plan for healthcare that would reduce many of the senior citizens out of pocket expenses as the reason for their estimation decrease.  That figure was $230,000, a $20,000 drop from 2010.  That break in costs has been overwhelmed by overall healthcare trends causing this year’s increase, which is a cause of concern for more and more people nearing retirement.

 

So the question is, what can we do about it?  Of course, a shorter lifetime would mean lower costs, but that’s not high on anyone’s investment goals.  Luckily there are a few ways to help manage what seems like a pretty intimidating number sitting in your future.  Here are a few suggestions..

 

  • Know it. Expect it. Plan for it.  It’s the most simple, but one of the hard to accept options.  Healthcare expenses in America are unpredictable on both an individual and societal level.  Legislation may or may not affect your future costs.  The figure for this year was based on current legislation, which we all know may, or may not remain in place.  If you are planning your retirement you might not take into account certain expenses (either consciously or subconsciously) such as hearing aids, dental work, the possibility of retirement homes and assisted living facilities.  45% of the total expenses estimated by Fidelity are out-of-pocket expenses.   Make sure when you are planning your investments and target figure for retirement you take these things into account.  Healthcare is something you don’t  want to have to skimp on later because you failed to address it now.

 

  • Understand Medicare- what it is and what it could be. If you are looking to retire now, or in the near future, the status of Medicare is somewhat up in air.  With each change in legislation, it’s important to know what it will cost you, what will be covered, and how to adjust your budget accordingly.  The costs associated with Medicare go beyond the copays, and it’s critical to understand which programs cover what.  Medicare Part A is the general program covering hospital services that most people are familiar with, which doesn’t carry a premium for most beneficiaries.  For almost $2,500 a year, a couple can spring for part B which covers many of the doctors and other services that A misses.  For an additional expense, you can buy Part D which covers prescription drugs.  32% of the total estimated cost of health care for retirees lies in the premiums for Medicare part B and D.  Then, to cover all things not covered by the various Medicare policies, for another $4,000 a year a couple can purchase a Medigap policy, cleverly named as it fills the gap in coverage of the previously purchased programs.  Take the time to figure out what programs you need and what those programs will cost you.  A little math now will save you a lot of time, energy, and money later.
  • Take care of yourself and your body. This might be the most obvious, but commonly overlooked piece of advice.  The fewer health problems you have in the future the less your healthcare will cost you.  Prescription drugs costs account for 23% of the total estimated figure for healthcare for retirees.  The need for many of those drugs can be reduced, if not completely avoided, by living a healthy lifestyle, starting today.  Schedule your checkups.  Eat healthy.  Get some exercise.  These are things that we have been told our entire lives, but now you have dollar signs as your motivation to do so.


The cost of healthcare for retirees is high, but that cost for not planning for it is even higher.  Do your homework, keep up with the changes, and add them into your budget.  Healthcare costs as a senior citizen doesn’t have to be a morbid subject, unless you forget about it.

Photo courtesy of premret.com

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The Ricks Report

July 16, 2012

The Markets

Should the Federal Reserve raise interest rates to fire up the economy?

For the past few years, the Fed has been on a mission to lower rates as much as possible. The thinking is lower rates will spur economic growth by making it less costly for businesses and consumers to borrow money.

Unfortunately, it hasn’t quite worked as planned.

Short-term interest rates are near zero and 30-year mortgages are at a record low, yet the economy is still just muddling along, according to Barron’s. Now, some investment managers are saying the Fed should reverse course and raise interest rates.

Last week, prominent money manager David Einhorn went on CNBC and said, “I think having very low zero rates is depressing to people. I think it deprives savers of reasonable incomes, the ability to forecast a reasonable income, and it cuts down on consumption.” He went on to say low rates drive up food and oil prices and lower standards of living.

Folks relying on a stream of income from their fixed investments can probably relate very well to what Einhorn is talking about. As recently as July 2007, $100,000 worth of 1-year Treasuries would have generated about $5,000 of annual income (a 5 percent yield), according to data from the Federal Reserve. Now, it would generate only about $200 (a 0.2 percent yield).

The Fed may be in a classic Catch-22, according to CNBC. With sluggish economic growth, it’s certainly hard to justify a rate hike, yet, low rates are increasingly ineffective. CNBC says a growing number of analysts suggest the best course of action is to allow “the cash-rich private sector to sort out its own problems without the government’s interference.” However, they acknowledge it “likely would be painful, but could be the only sustainable path to recovery.”

With the Fed on the record as saying they plan “to keep interest rates at their historically low range of 0 to 0.25 percent through late 2014,” investors shouldn’t expect the Fed to raise rates any time soon, according to Fox Business. Only time will tell if this low rate strategy is the right medicine for the economy.

Data as of 7/13/12

1-Week

Y-T-D

1-Year

3-Year

5-Year

10-Year

Standard & Poor’s 500 (Domestic Stocks)

0.2%

7.9%

3.1%

14.6%

-2.7%

4.0%

DJ Global ex US (Foreign Stocks)

-1.1

-0.2

-17.4

5.7

-7.9

5.2

10-year Treasury Note (Yield Only)

1.5

N/A

2.9

3.4

5.1

4.6

Gold (per ounce)

0.5

1.3

1.1

20.7

19.1

17.5

DJ-UBS Commodity Index

2.5

-0.2

-14.8

7.2

-4.3

3.5

DJ Equity All REIT TR Index

0.9

17.3

12.7

34.8

2.3

11.6

Notes: S&P 500, DJ Global ex US, Gold, DJ-UBS Commodity Index returns exclude reinvested dividends (gold does not pay a dividend) and the three-, five-, and 10-year returns are annualized; the DJ Equity All REIT TR Index does include reinvested dividends and the three-, five-, and 10-year returns are annualized; and the 10-year Treasury Note is simply the yield at the close of the day on each of the historical time periods.  Sources: Yahoo! Finance, Barron’s, djindexes.com, London Bullion Market Association.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.  N/A means not applicable.

HOW DO YOU TURN A PENNY INTO 1.25 BILLION DOLLARS? Sounds like a magic trick, right? Well, there’s really no magic other than the law of large numbers.

Here’s how it works and how it may benefit our economy.

A report from the Federal Highway Administration shows Americans traveled approximately 2.94 trillion miles in motor vehicles for the 12 months ending April 2012. Now, when you figure how many gallons of gas that burns up, you get a really big number! Moody’s Economy.com chief economist Mark Zandi has done the math and, by his reckoning, each penny change in the price of a gallon of gas equates to, you guessed it, about $1.25 billion over the course of a year, as reported by CNBC.

With the wild swings we’ve seen in the price of gas, the savings – or cost – can add up quickly. A recent check with AAA showed the average price for a gallon of regular gas dropped by about $.25 over the past year. So, multiply $1.25 billion by 25 and you get, to quote Carl Sagan, “billions upon billions” of additional coin in consumer’s pockets. And, that coin could fuel further growth in consumer spending.

You’ve heard the old saying, “A penny saved is a penny earned.” Today, a few pennies saved on gas can add up to billions!

Weekly Focus – Did You Know…

There’s about $1.1 trillion of US dollars in circulation today – an all-time record high. However, most of it is not “floating” around in everyday transactions. About 75 percent of the $1.1 trillion is in $100 bills which don’t circulate much. On top of that, about 50 to 66 percent of U.S. cash is held abroad. Despite the proliferation of credit cards and debit cards, we still seem a long way away from a cashless society.

Source: CNNMoney

Best regards,

Gregory Ricks

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The Ricks Report

July 9, 2012

The Markets

Where is the recovery in jobs?

In the 10 recessions between World War II and 2001, the jobs lost during the recession were fully recovered within 4 years of the previous peak in employment, according to the blog, Calculated Risk. In fact, with the exception of the 2001 recession, the previous 9 recessions had recovered all their lost jobs within a relatively short 2½ years.

The 2007 recession, however, is a different story.

At its nadir in February 2010, the U.S. economy had shed nearly 9 million jobs from its prior peak, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). As of last week’s June employment report, the U.S. economy had recovered less than half of those lost jobs – and we’re more than 4 years removed from the peak employment level of late 2007, according to the BLS.

Why has the jobs recovery from this recession been so painfully slow? Here are several reasons:

(1)   Recoveries from recessions caused by financial crises – like this one – are notoriously slow.

(2)   Extremely high economic policy uncertainty emanating from Washington made corporations cautious in hiring.

(3)   The extension of unemployment benefits to 99 weeks reduced some people’s desire to find new work.

(4)   Uncertainty from events related to the euro crisis dampened business demand and the need for more workers.

Sources: Gary Becker, Nobel Prize Winner and Richard Posner blog; The Wall Street Journal

There is some good news, though, that could eventually provide a spark for new hiring.

Corporate profits as a percentage of gross domestic product (the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S.) recently hit an all-time high, according to Business Insider. This means corporate profits are at record levels. On top of that, corporate cash levels have reached historic highs which suggest corporations have plenty of money to reinvest for growth, according to Yahoo! Finance. With corporate profits and balance sheets looking solid, all we have to do is get these companies to start spending some of that cash on new hires. If that happens on a large scale, it could be a huge boost to the economy and the financial markets.

Data as of 7/6/12

1-Week

Y-T-D

1-Year

3-Year

5-Year

10-Year

Standard & Poor’s 500 (Domestic Stocks)

-0.6%

7.7%

0.8%

14.7%

-2.4%

3.3%

DJ Global ex US (Foreign Stocks)

-0.1

1.0

-17.8

5.4

-7.4

4.6

10-year Treasury Note (Yield Only)

1.5

N/A

3.1

3.5

5.2

4.8

Gold (per ounce)

-0.7

0.8

3.9

19.7

19.6

17.7

DJ-UBS Commodity Index

1.1

-2.7

-13.8

5.0

-4.4

3.4

DJ Equity All REIT TR Index

1.2

16.3

10.2

33.2

2.0

10.9

Notes: S&P 500, DJ Global ex US, Gold, DJ-UBS Commodity Index returns exclude reinvested dividends (gold does not pay a dividend) and the three-, five-, and 10-year returns are annualized; the DJ Equity All REIT TR Index does include reinvested dividends and the three-, five-, and 10-year returns are annualized; and the 10-year Treasury Note is simply the yield at the close of the day on each of the historical time periods.

Sources: Yahoo! Finance, Barron’s, djindexes.com, London Bullion Market Association.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.  N/A means not applicable.

INVESTORS HAVE GROWN VERY FICKLE in recent years as measured by how long they hold on to a stock. There was a time when investors were really investors and bought a stock for the long run. In fact, between 1940 and 1975, the average length of time a New York Stock Exchange stock was held before it was sold was almost 7 years, according to data from the New York Stock Exchange as reported by a September 2010 Top Foreign Stocks blog post. By 1987, it had dropped to less than 2 years. And, in the highly volatile year of 2008, the average holding period was less than 9 months, according to The New York Stock Exchange.

So, does this fast trading result in better returns?

A highly quoted study by Brad Barber and Terrance Odean of University of California-Davis published in April 2000 analyzed the results of nearly 2 million trades from a discount brokerage firm between 1991 and 1996. The study concluded that the 20 percent of investors who traded the most frequently underperformed the 20 percent of investors who traded the least frequently by a whopping 7.1 percentage points on an annualized basis after expenses.

The main conclusion of the study was, “Trading is hazardous to your wealth.”

One very interesting tidbit from the study was the gross returns between the frequent and infrequent traders were basically the same. In other words, stock selection was not a problem for the fast traders; rather, it was the expenses of the frequent trading that caused their net returns to lag far behind the infrequent traders.

From a practical standpoint, selling a stock is necessary from time to time. The study simply drives home the point that keeping trading costs as low as possible is critical to having net returns come close to gross returns.

Weekly Focus – Think About It…

“Learn every day, but especially from the experiences of others. It’s cheaper!”

John Bogle, founder of The Vanguard Group

Best regards,

Gregory Ricks

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Welcome to Gregory Ricks & Associates Estate & Retirement Planning

Gregory Ricks and Associates Estate and Retirement Planning is a full service financial advisory firm in New Orleans, LA. Over the course of 20 years living in the area Gregory Mr. Ricks has the unique abilities to design portfolios that are non-correlated to the markets and provide insight to market conditions that effect investors portfolios

Each of our clients enjoys our expertise in assisting them with the following planning areas:

  • Portfolio Investment Management –  we design a portfolio unique to your circumstances in order to match your investment goals with  your investment tools.
  • Retirement Portfolio Tax Management – often your largest tax liability, we evaluate your options for tax-free distribution strategies.
  • Retirement Income Management – provide you guaranteed income that increases over time while protecting your principal.
  • Annual Income Tax Management- initial and ongoing evaluation of income tax return to ensure you are taking advantage of all opportunities to reduce your annual tax liability.
  • Estate Distribution Planning – strategies that help you structure a meaningful distribution of your assest in the manner you desire.
  • Legacy Planning – we assist you in developing a legacy for your family (or charities) that supports your value system in a positive and meaningful way.

To address each and every one of our client’s goals and objectives we utilize a team approach of specialists because we understand that no one can be “all things to all people.”   We may elect to bring in depending on your circumstances, CPA’s, Attorneys, Long Term Care Specialists and even outside portfolio managers to ensure that your needs are addressed to the highest level.

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